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Michael-5 said:

A new Wii Sports still hasn't happened.

How can you say PS3 wasn't a late bloomer? It sold 32% better in 2008 over 2007 AND sold 8&% better in 2011 (14.7 million). While WiiU will likely never see Wii levels of success, it's very possible for WiiU to start selling 6 million units+ annually. In fact, since WiiU has been consistantly selling 100% better in 2014 oer 2013 (due to Mario Kart), I can say it will almost certainly sell 5+ million in 2014, and will likely sell better in 2015 with Mario Kart & Smash Bros giving a boost to sales for all 12 months.

While 5/6 million isn't crazy, it will put WiiU above Gamecube and if the generation lasts long enough, it could put it above Sega Genesis and N64.

Easily, look at the sales curve it was a pretty normal smooth curve quite evenly balanced. It made a pretty good start (a better start launch aligned than 360) climbed to a peak with a steady increase in sales, reached a plateau then started a steady decline. Nothing extra ordinary about it. Full year sales went 7.9M --> 10.5M(+2.6M) -->13.2M(+2.7M) -->13.7M(+.5M)-->14.3M (+.6M)-->11.9M(-3.4M)... basically a 3-2-3 pattern: 3 growth years, 2 plateau years, 3 decline years and we're done more or less. About the only thing you could say is a bit different is that it had 2 years at the plateau instead of 1 year. But that does not qualify for a late bloom. A late bloom is to have major growth in the 4th or subsequent years because first 3 full years on sale typically are all growth years. Wii U's 3rd full year (next year) should be another growth year.

I don't know why you thnk Wii Sports will do anything. None of the Wii motion games has got things moving to date and the more distance (time-wise) that is put between the major success years of Wii and Wii motion titles the more that market will forget that Wii even existed and will have moved on.

If selling 6 million a year at the year 4 and 5 mark is a late bloom then I'm afraid we're speaking different languages. 6 million consoles sold in a year isn't any sort of bloom, in my view.



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