Even if Sony "wins", have they really "won"?

[HappySqurriel]

leo-j said:

solinox said:
Sony will make more on Blu-Ray than on their games division. So yes, they really "won".

If blu-ray takes the place of DVD(which is unlikely) they would make more than double of what they make of there other divisions combined.

Do we have any evidence of this?

Even if you assume the sale of 10 Billion Blu-Ray discs per year at an average of $5 licencing fee per disc, 1 Billion Blu-Ray players at an average licencing fee of $25 per player, and that Sony is the only company that gets any licencing revenues this would still be less than the $76 Billion in Revenues Sony made last year; on top of this all of these assumptions are unrealistic, the licencing fees are (or at least will be) smaller, there are several companies who will get licencing fees, and I doubt 10 Billion DVDs are sold per year.