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earthtrues on 31 August 2014
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Welfare said:
earthtrues said:

wrong on all. september actually has a lot of releases: 3. bayonetta 2 and fatal frame 5 in japan. hyrule warriors for the rest of the world. there are also two new bundles with much more value than the current main one.

october will have bayonetta 2 released on the west.

29 countries that mean nearly nothing and sunset overdrive won't sell much.

call of retrocess is in decline, halo is just a collection that won't sell muchand they catter mostly to current users while competing with the FAR bigger smash bros.

december isn't a contest, the whole holidays will be helped by mario kart and other big games that are already released on wii u. plus, there's japan.


Yeah, 3 releases isn't a lot, espically when 2 of those are in Japan and will hardly raise the peak to over 25k, and the other will be a niche title in the rest of the world. Xbox One has 5 high profile retail games releasing world wide in September (Destiny, NHL 15, FIFA 15, Forza Horizon 2, Middle Earth: SoM) and possibly Minecraft. 

Bayonetta 2 will barely do anything for Western sales, as Xbox One has NBA Live 15, NBA 2K15, Alien Isolation, The Evil Within, WWE 2K15, and Sunset OverDrive.

29 countries add up to a lot. Why do you think the PS4 is already at 10 million? It is in over 60 countries. Assuming an average of 1500 for each country at launch (which is low balling by a lot for some countries) thats an extra 43k, and if demand were truely terrible to go down to 500 per country before holidays, (again, very unlikely) that is still 14k to add to the baseline. 29 countries, no matter how small, still add up.

Call of Duty is still very strong in pull, even if the series has had some rough times recently, and Halo MCC is a collection of titles that consistantly sell 8-10 million, and is pre ordering like a beast in America. Smash Bros has only had one title go over 10 million, and that was on a system with over 100 million units.

You are right in one aspect, december isn't a contest. Xbox One will have much more pull for casuals and hardcore consumers with 3rd party support and 1st party support, while Nintendo sells only to a shrinking fanbase of users that have already bought the hardware (NPD sales are already be 100k, and Japan is at a constant 8k sales per week).

your denial is sweet.

you are even lying about mcc. it's doing the opposite of being pre ordered like crazy. will sell well for a collection, only a small fraction of a new title.