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PS4 is doing horrible in Japan compared to how PS3 did in Japan. All around I think PS4 will do great at least 80 million. Right now the PS4 is selling on hype alone. When the big hitters come out and support for PS3 drops a whole other wave of increasing sales will hit. A few reasons I can think of why PS4 may not get up to 100 million is due to the possibility of a shorter life, many gamers are leaving consoles and moving over to handhelds and even then many are becoming casuals and sticking to Candy Crap games. Also, the time and money it takes to get AAA games out on these systems is much higher which means more risk. Time of the indie has come. Even if PS4 doesn't get to 100 million it will do wonderful and likely will beat out Xbox1 and Wii U as well.