| fastyxx said: So I'm thinking, things certainly are on the upswing for the PS3 in 2008. Sales are picking up with big software on the way, like MGS4/FFXIII/Home?LBP etc. . So maybe they catch 360 by the end of 2009/early 2010, to be optimistic. My question is, how much do they have to "win" by in this gen to actually "win"? Because no matter what happens, they will have lost a signifcant amount of market share this generation when compared to the last. 18 months in, the decade-old PS2 is still outselling it, or at least keeping pace. And they aren't exactly moving software off the shelves with the notable exception of COD4 and GT5:Prologue. I see a lot of optimism here for PS3 and I have a lot myself. But I'm not sure why when I really break down the numbers. Will they make money? Yes. Will they end up passing 360 worldwide? Likely. |
Okay firstly saying home and LBP are big software is a bit of a stretch. So far my non gamer friends aren't even aware these exist. Im fairly convinced LBP is going to turn out to be like Locoroco. By the buzz on the net you expect it to be amazing then it turns out really outside the internet no one gives a damn. Home I can see going either way, it could be really big or a huge failure.
It's a strange thing. I can imagine every single sony fanboy making a post of orgasmic glee when the PS3 total sales exceed the 360 sales. And yet if you had said 3 years ago, that the ps3 would be battling with the 360 for second place fanboys would have thrown a hissy fit.
I think really this generation will be considered a pretty hefty 'loss' for Sony. If the PS3 sold 60million and the 360 sold 35million I would consider that a pretty impressive success for MS and a pretty massive failure for Sony. I mean the PS2 had 115million? 120million? and the xbox had 24million. If sony lose 60million console sales, well that's certainly not good.
I mean it would be extremely hard for Sony to maintain a 100million+ userbase but I don't think it was unreasonable for them to get 90million or so. So yea I would call the PS3 a massive mistake. Should have made it cheaper, easier to develop for etc.
I think Sony will end up being second this generation but Nintendo and MS are definetly going to make far more progress.
I do wonder sometimes though if MS had managed to avoid the 3red lights fiasco if they could have really pushed the PS3 into 3rd place. That was definetly a huge screw up by MS.
Oh and I hate people that claim the PS3 is in the HD market so will win it's market and the wii doesn't count. People that buy Wii's are less likely to buy another console. It would be like claiming the N64 won it's generation as it was competing in the cartridge based games market.
