Why The Playstation 4 is Outselling The Xbox One.

[Arkaign]

Rather than type all this out again, I'm going to repost it here from my other thread since it's exactly relevant to this topic. COD is not going to save the X1. For one thing, many COD players are borderline casuals who don't care, and will keep playing on their 360 or PS3 without a worry. For another, people already know it will play as well or likely superior on PS4. And lastly, the bundle is $499 freaking dollars, which is a suicide note in 2014. Anyway, this is another in long line of checkboxes which didn't pan out for people predicting X1 suddenly to become a runaway success and beat the PS4. It just won't happen. The best they can hope is to lose LESS badly.

I don't think anyone is prepared for how September will go. Every time people say 'wait for this' in regards to the X1, it doesn't happen the way they think. I've called it every step of the way.

(1)- X1 sells well in Nov/Dec, people think 'oh, it will sell evenly with PS4 from here on out, or will outsell it'.

/nope, it will fall behind, those sales only show the front-loading of hardcore Xbox fans jumping in thirsty for a new console after the longest gen of all time.

(2)- 'X1 will stomp with Titanfall, the most hyped and promoted exclusive of all time!'

/nope, it will give a boost, but won't be enough to make a lasting impact, not even giving the game away and cutting the price by 10%.

(3)- 'X1 will never drop to $399 before 2015'

/nope, they need a lower price NOW, they will find a way!

(4)- 'X1 will never drop Kinect'

/nope, they had to find a way to $399, and there you go, they found it!

(5)- 'X1 will get a mad boost when the $399 SKU hits! It will pass PS4 and win the US easily!'

/nope, it will make an impact for 1-2 days due to people who waited out May due to the early announcement, then fall back to around previous levels because deals were already better in some ways ($449 Titanfall Kinect bundle, yadda/etc).

And now we get to the rest :

(6)- 'X1 will get a boost from Destiny because reasons, and will start selling strongly!'

/nope, not much of a boost, they will trail the PS4 by a larger margin than ever. PS4 Destiny bundles have been building up at insane rates for months now, and those chickens will come to roost in September IN ADDITION to the baseline PS4 sales. The momentum started in September for PS4 will be wicked powerful.

(7)- 'X1 will get a huge boost from Halo MCC! It will outsell the PS4 then surely!'

/nope, remasters are not system sellers, no matter how much old stuff they put in. This is 2014, people want to play NEW games, or at least games new to them. TLOU probably sold 90% of its copies to people who didn't own a PS3 last gen. But who is excited about MCC that hasn't already played Halo games? I'm fairly sure that not many fall into that category. Best it can do is convince some die-hard Xbox/Halo fans to jump that haven't already. But as far as I can tell, most of the diehards have already moved.

(8)- 'X1 will get a huge boost from COD! PS4 has no chance against that!'.

/nope, the PS4 version will almost certainly be superior, and people know that by now, even many of the casuals. And the bundle? $499? Seriously? That's not going to fly in the time of $399 and less deals, 1TB drive or not. I do think COD will sell strongly to the XB1 owners, and have a higher attach rate, but the install base gap by COD release is likely to be over 1M+, so more copies of AW will easily be sold on PS4 overall in the US, and globally the gap will be ludicrous.