If ISIS isn't dealt with quickly, they will force the rest of us into World War III. They're playing chicken with us, assuming that the rest of the world isn't actually willing to commit to war.
I think they're half right. The best solution I can think of is to fake a fissible material theft and blame ISIS, then to drop a low yield nuke on one of their facilities and claim it was a research facility. They made an experiment which went wrong. You could probably make that cover story very convincing by throwing in some broken centrifuge bits and partially enriched Uranium Hexafluride.
The more they claim innocence and ignorance the guiltier and more incompetent they will look. The rest of the Arab world will suddenly hate and distrust them.
Probability of that happening? ZERO.
Realistic solution? I'm still working on that.
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