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I like your presentation but completely disagree with your summation.

All three will come back next gen. MS will launch a new system in late 2010. We will see it E3 2009.

PS3 is a success for Sony regardless of how it finishes now. It will eventually take #2 spot and do quite well. Bluray has one and PS3 will benefit greatly from that as its price comes down over the next 2 years.