Dark_Feanor on 18 August 2014
| Alderanex said: 3.2 million in November (four times October) is more than XB1 will sell in Nov+Dec combined, possibly even Q4 (see above) 2 million in Dec is still too high given that sales will decline by 60-80 percent the week after Xmas. As noted in the other toastboy (Xbone One tier 2..) thread, Nov and Dec can be million-sales-months for XB1, but more like 1-1.4 and .8-1.2 millions, respectively . (PS4 though, might reach 3.2/2 million or more in Nov/Dec, by Sony's GC numbers (10 mio) it will be about 7 mio YTD through Sep and thus sell around that or more for Q4, that would mean 18+ LTD through 2014). |
Xbox 360 FY Jl-Sp Oc-Dc Ja-Mr Ap-Jn FY LTD 2005/06 - 1.5 1.7 1.8 5.0 5.0 2006/07 1.0 4.4 0.5 0.7 6.6 11.6 2007/08 1.8 4.3 1.3 1.3 8.7 20.3 2008/09 2.2 6.0 1.7 1.2 11.2 31.5 2009/10 2.1 5.2 1.5 1.5 10.3 41.8 2010/11 2.8 6.3 2.7 1.7 13.7 55.3 2011/12 2.3 8.2 1.4 1.1 13.0 68.3 2012/13 1.7 5.9 1.3 1.0 9.9 78.2 2013/14 1.2 3.5 0.8 ??? 5.5 83.7
If we give that the Xone shipped about 800k last quarter it puts sales on track of the 360 2006/2007.
That gave the next quarters 1.8mi and 4.4mi. 2006 was a particular low year for the 360 but the pattern show aways a signficant increase in from Q4 to Q1 and Q2.
So, unless the Xone is realy dying, or putting a WiiU it will easealy ship another 2mi units and 4.5mi for Q1 and Q2.
And lets give again Microsoft the odd custom of having 1mi units at the shelves at any given time.
That is still +11mi sold for +12mi shipped. Once more at the worst case scenario the XOne will have sold 11mi consoles by the end of this year.
Source: http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=859945
