Teeqoz said:
prinz_valium said:
as u said. games with incredible legs and great baselaselines dont have that big hoiliday and new version boosts.
the game is at ~ 30m so far
lets say it will do ~15m a year for the next 3 years(including a huge holiday and next gen boosts, without a slowdown for last gen )
the game would be at 75m units
so still 7m behind wii sports
if it will do 13m each year for the next 4 years (still a huge number, i would doubt fore sure, because last gen sales will slow down and be near zero after holiday 2016, or even earlier) it only would reach wii sports
this game wont do over 10m units each year for the next 5 years on consoles only. no way. just no
the only way to surpass wii sports is, if this game will still be a big thing in 8 years. it has to become tetris
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I never said that games with a high baselinecand good legs didn't get a holiday boost, I only said I hadn't taken it in account, because I have no idea how large it will be. The 200k baseline per week, doesn't even take in account digital sales on consoles, and since it's always on top on PSN and XBL, that could be a possible 100k extra per week. + boost from next gen, so another 50k per week. That leaves us at 350k per week = 18,2 million, plus another 2 million for christmas boost. So it could do 20 million this year on PC and consoles alone.
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we know its at 30m right now
15m pc
15m consoles
realse date on xbox one march 2012
retail realse date june 2013 (5m units since that day)
release date on ps3 december 2013
retail release date may 2014 (just short of 1m units since that day)
15m console units
12m on xb360
7m digital = 58k units a week
3m ps3 sales
2m digital = 66k a week (ncluding "big" ps3 launch and holiday sales)
so yeah ~100k digital sales per week seems right so far.
we just dont know how long it will be at this phase. if it will increase or decrese.
imho it will not increse by much
this game is already out for 1 or 2 holiday seasons (digital at least) and if next gen sales increase, last gen will decrease.
again: this game is and will be huge. but it wont sell 85m units lifetime on pc + console only
