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Rise of Tomb Raider will be profitable for Square-Enix, so I don't get why everyone thinks it won't. They already got a huge cash deposit from M$ and it will sell over a million. Developing takes less time for 1 system as well as optimizing for the system, and usually allows for a smaller dev team.

Will there be a smaller profit due to exclusivity? maybe, but being it's only timed I highly doubt it will be all that much of a loss.