Prediction: Xbox One will outsell PS4 WW by Q1 2016

[Zanten]

Soooo... there is pretty much nothing I can contribute to a rebuttal that hasn't already been said, soooo I instead turn my attention to what has been a bit of a prevailing trend in some cases (though not the OP's) when discussing an Xbox One comeback. Namely, the response that 'It's Still Early, Anything Can Happen, Marathon Not A Race, etc.'

The thing is, I could pretty easily say 'The PS4 Will Widen Its Lead To 4:1 Over The Xbox One By The End Of The Generation.' Strictly speaking, it IS possible (because anything can happen, it's early in the generation, etc) and could even toss out some reasonable sounding excuses, (Wider variety of titles shown thus far, Bloodborne and The Order look goooorgeous, etc,) but bottom line, that statement would be more a shot in the dark than an educated guess, because even though Sony is doing VERY well, this would need them to do phenomenally BETTER, and nothing currently shown suggests that it will get quite that dominant.

While I don't condone the hostility that this has risen against this post, as the OP was very polite, I do share the incredulity behind it. Bottom line, declaring 'The Xbox One Will Win' just seems incredibly premature when, at this point, there hasn't really BEEN a turning point, in any of the markets, for the console yet. Not a single NPD victory since the holidays, no sign that the console has even been able to make the gap by which it is losing worldwide particularly narrow. At this point, the hopes placed on it for future victory are based on sales in regions where the competition was dominant even WHEN Microsoft had a headstart, China (which is a wild card, and could just as quickly go against Microsoft in the long run,) and, increasingly, Microsoft's exclusive or exclusive-benefited heavy hitters, ala Halo, CoD, and Fifa which is ignoring the fact that while Sony might not have exclusive franchises quite as big, individually, as the cream of Microsoft's crop, their studios usually mean they have a fair number MORE.

While they will definitely HELP, there's still a rather massive gulf to cross; the Xbox One could, literally, double its sales worldwide and it'd still be lagging behind Sony. Reaching 2:1 sales in Europe, when it's lagging 3:1 in Germany and doesn't seem likely to be doing much better in France and other countries outside the U.K. would need a massive turnaround that would, probably, surprise Microsoft as much as anyone else. In the same way Sony was probably pretty surprised with how thoroughly Microsoft shot themselves in the foot early on in the gen.