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I think both bayonetta and tomb raider will perform worse because of the fact that they are exclusives. However bayonetta is understandable because we would not have the game without nintendo.

Sales of tomb raider will be severly compromised a' the target audience is slashed by 77% ( by current figures, which would obviously change). I can not think it is possible that it would not hurt sales of the game. At maximum it may generate more interest amongst xbox owners.

However we need to wait for details on this and see if Microsoft financial support (if any) was critical to the game's development as that would free funds for SEs other projects