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PattonFiend said:
teigaga said:

Sorry, but I feel like everyone is being extremely short sighted.

1.The Wii U's biggest software release in 16months has afforded it a momentary 7k advantage and suddenly they expect it to outsell Xbox longterm?

2. Cross gen 3rd party ≠ Next Gen exclusive 3rd party

Firstly people are not taking into account that they are comparing a system that have accumulated 1 and half years of momentum, some of its biggest franchises, to a system which has only had 6months and NONE of its big hitters. Even given that predicament there is about 7k seperating the 2 on a weekly basis, something that will be mostly diminished somewhat when XO is released WW, let alone when it receives next gen system sellers which will benefit both it and PS4... So it shocks me that people think the wii U will hold this advantage when Halo, Gears, Next Gen only AC, Witcher 3, Batman, Mass Effect, Starwars etc come to the Xbox.

Before anyone says that it hasnt helped XO so far, you cannot use the cross gen 3rd party releases to discern this. Since when were cross gen releases ever expected to sell tons of next gen hardware?... As a whole cross gen releases have had very little effect on hardware sales, both for the Xbox One and PS4. At most they've simply maintained them above the horrible levels Wii U fell to. The only cross gen release to have a significant effect was Watchdogs (58% increase for PS4, 27% XO)... MGS appeared to be resposible for a big PS4 bump but it was in the same week as the Infamous PS4 bundle release so thats the more likely cause.

In Short

Xbox's slum >>>>> Wii U slum
Xbox's Peak >>>>> Wii U peak. (based on foreseable releases and past sales)
Wii U's peak baseline = Xbox Slum baseline... (sales difference is currently insignificant)


How many MONTHS have to go by before it is not "momentary" amymore?

Explain?

Specifically the sales gap is momentary becuause circumstances will with new releases (or lack of big releases) and seasonal demand bumps will change the dynamics. I expect the Wii U to outsell or at least equal the Xbox til the end of august, but then that will be the last time the Wii U outsells the Xbox consistently for more then a month.

The way I see the current circumstance is that the Wii U has reached a new peak, a killer app on its arsenal, backed by good catelog of appealling games (Super Mario 3D world, Donkey Kong, NSMBU, Windwaker HD) and an affordable price. This has provided what I believe to be a long term sales increase which is impressive compared to its previous sales but just decent otherwise. The Xbox will pass this easily once it gets frequent big releases, not just cross gen titles.

Essentially people are taking the Xbox at its lowest and comparing it to the Wii U at its highest.