I think the U actually has a great chance to jump start at $199 or less pricing. It becomes almost an impulse buy companion console for the superb 1st-party library at that price. And that price is probably possible even during the upcoming holiday season (and DEFINITELY by fall '15 if they decide to hold off).
Due to PS4 being a damned steamroller even in the US (latest numbers 2 to 1 over XB1, lol), the real magic will be : what makes the better companion console? The XB1 makes a terrible companion console. It's expensive, it requires a subscription service to be viable, and 90% of the library is the same (only worse in most cases).
Winner on logic? The U.
Winner in reality? Wait and see. Smash's success or failure will have a lot to do with it. It could become a game that people really talk about and get into, and that would keep them pumping onto Zelda's release and sub-$200 price point. At that point I have no doubt that the U will stay solid for a long time.
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