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DerNebel said:

Sidetracking, yeah right...

The PS2 is extremely relevant to this, do you seriously believe that the PS1 would have dropped 50% in FY00 had the PS2 not been available? Also your "people went the Wii from to PS360" point as a reason for the Wiis drop is ridiculously weak, the Wii was always aimed at a completely different audience from the PS360.


I'm just glad you agree that PS1 and Wii have very similar sales curves, with Wii having about 10 million more units sold in year 2-3 and PS1 having about that same number sold extra from year 8 onward.  But about 94% of sales are virtually identical.  You show me stats that Wii owners and PS360 owners are mutually exclusive, and I will agree with you.

Further, as of August 2008 19% of American PS2 owners had purchased a Wii, 18% had purchased a 360 and 10% had a PS3 according to NDP.  In case you're bad at math, that means that around 10 million of the 15 million Wii owners (66%) at that time had come from a PS2 background.  You can continue to live in a dream world where you think most gamers are devoutees to a particular brand, that PS360 and Wii buyers are seperate entities and that the main people who picked up a Wii were soccer moms and grandparents, but the truth is the mass market of gaming is regular people who have little brand attachment and want the latest thing.  Those people loved the Wii when it was flashy and new, just like they loved PS2 when everyone had one.  Those same people picked up PS360's when the price came down, COD became the rage and HDTV became affordable.  Most of those people also haven't picked up an 8th gen system yet, with nothing really grabbing the public's attention fully.