They are going to release shipped numbers..... So at the end of of July they've probably shipped 1 million
so here's my shipped numbers prediction for each FY quarter
Q1/Apr. to Jun.- 890,000 (Mario Kart 8 boost)
Q2/ Jul. to Sep.- 1,295,000 (MK8 boost lags off)
Q3/Oct. to Dec.- 4,310,000 (Bayonetta 2, Smash Bros, Captain Toad, Holiday boost)
Q4/Jan. to Mar.- 4,805,000 (Smash Bros. still has an ok boost + one of the 2015 games)
So yes... easily! It will get close to 5 million shipments most likely