Prediction: PS4 Destiny Bundle Will Help Xbox One Win August NPD

[Zanten]

"Whaaaaa?"

As my debut prediction attempt on this site, to celebrate my fiftieth post, I have decided to make a risky prediction that may very well end up being wrong. The gist of it is that the Xbox One will outsell the PS4 in the U.S. for the month of August, as defined by the NPD results released for said month. However, the reasoning behind this is not that I believe the Xbox One will see a sales boost; I don't even think they will, strictly speaking, gain more interested customers than the PS4 in August.

No, my prediction is that the Destiny bundle pre-orders for the PS4 will be so successful, they will draw a large number of people away from buying the console outright in August, and instead result in them pre-ordering. Because the NPD, to my knowledge, does not count pre-orders as sales, (not until the pre-order is fulfilled,) anyone who has pre-ordered the Destiny bundle in August will not have their console sale counted until September. Basically, think of what happened to the Xbox One in May, due to anticipation of the Kinectless SKU.

Now, I do consider this a bit of a stretch; the Destiny bundle HAS been out, and hasn't kept the PS4 from outselling the Xbox One anyway. (Which makes me wonder exactly what the bundle pre-order figures have been each week, and how it will all come togeter in September,) So for this prediction to come true, three conditions must be satisfied;

1) The PS4 must continue to draw customer interest in August at its current level, or even a lower level. Basically, no big consumer interest boost in August.
2) The Xbox One's on-the-spot sales must not tank by August. Self-explanatory, we will see by July's NPD if they managed to raise their baseline, or if they're back to their middling numbers. If the latter, or even if a popular Xbox One pre-order bundle is released, then this prediction is more than likely dead in the water.
3) The percentage of customers who choose to pre-order the Destiny Bundle in August, as opposed to buying the base console immediately, must INCREASE.

If all three conditions above are satisfied, then I believe that the PS4's success in pushing the Destiny bundle will split their sales sufficiently that the Xbox One, which to my knowledge is not hampered by such a bundle, will take the NPD 'Win,' even if less customers were technically investing money in purchasing one. Frankly, I'm not super confident THAT all three of these conditions will be satisfied, but meh, yolo! xP

I select August as the month because, the closer we get to the Destiny release, the more likely we are to see a spike in Destiny bundle pre-orders, as hype spreads and sets in. So if it's going to happen, it will happen closest to release.

Yes, yes, lotta ifs... the daring of it all... >_>

So, what do you guys think? What are the odds that Sony's success in one field of console sales leads to their quasi-sort-of-downfall in another, ending their winning streak?

(And please keep in mind, this is all meant in good fun, and in the spirit of speculation.)

TL;DR: Xbox One will outsell PS4, in the U.S., in August, as defined by the NPD.