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Sharu said:
This game should sell well. But IF the rumours about 500 mln budget are correct, it needs to sell more then 16 mln copies just to get even (roughly, I was counting 30USD per copy goes to publisher).
Which is a feat by itself...

I think that Activision expects to sell less than 16, and make up the difference with DLCs.

Even with 8-10m sold, they would break even within 12-18 months. Everything later would be pure profit, with an eventual part 2 costing way less and making much more.

Activision has money to invest and wait it out. This game/franchise will be very profitable...