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Nintentacle on 24 July 2014
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GamechaserBE said:

Well that is why I called decent exclusives not great exclusives (possible great in quality and content though)..  

MCC collection can sell between 1-3 million this year but I can't point out how much...  I only know their are a lot of halo fans out their...And when X360 was 2 years old and already had a lot of games Halo 3 created a high sales bump (ofcourse MCC will not reach that level)...

Anyway worst case scenario:

July = the last two weeks = another 100K XBO sold

August = except some indies , metro collection and Dance central (if it release in August) their is not much to boost sales = 200K sold

September = Sales typicall bump up already let say 20% compared to August, then it also release in +10-20 countries and has some third party games + forza horizon 2 and a bundle for 399 that includes Forza 5 and Fifa 15 =  300 K sold

October = Sales bump higher, a lot of third party games release and Sunset overdrive release and project spark (not sure about the last one) = 400 K sold

November =  Sales bump a lot higher, black friday, the holiday shopping starts, MCC collection release = 800K sold

December = typicall massive sales  1.200K sold

Worst case scenario = 3 million = 8 million sold LTD..;

be free to quote me and say why it could not be possible..

I can more or less (I'd say It's a little off for August and September) agree with you on the numbers, but I think that'd be best-base scenario. Worst-case IMO would be 7.5 million.

I think Wii U can sell more, though. This is my best-case scenario, since I'd say yours is a best-case scenario.

July: About the same as Xbox One in the last two weeks, a little more. 105k

August: Hyrule Warriors released in Japan, small one week boost. 210k-220k.

September: I'll do a 20% boost like you did for the sake of the argument. Hyrule Warriors also releases at the end of the month in the US and EU, and Bayonetta 2 releases in Japan, so I would expect a 35k boost across the last 2 weeks. About 290k.

October: Hyrule Warriors' boost finishes up, and Bayonetta 2 releases in the US and EU. And I'm guessing you did another 20% boost, too. 390k

November: Sales obviously bump higher, and I assume Smash Bros. will release this month because of Black Friday. About 820k.

December: 1.65 million

Total: 3.47 million (Worst case scenario for me is around 3.1 million, so either way Xbox One sells more in 2014 altogether. )

Lifetime sales after 2014: 10.2 million

Sales in 2014: 4.8 million (Which is actually a lot worse than my original prediction this year, 6.4 million!)