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The biggest thing I see with the systems is how tentative third parties are about moving on to the current generation. If the PS4 had managed on major next gen exclusive Japanese centric title even I think the outlook would be different. Just imagine if a Tales or Persona game was released this year only on PS4 there.

The question is how much do console makers value Japan enough to be willing to likely take a loss on a project there to win back some market share?