PS3 and 360 had a similar situation and ended 50/50. I think the best power/price and advertising will steal marketshare for PS4, but it would have to be a PS2 like takeover to drop X1 to Wii U LTD levels and that's not going to happen.
This gen is about a PS4 that had very few mistakes in its project and launch, a X1 that had a lot of mildly severe mistakes (most of them fixable, but the damage is done and reflected on sales) and a Wii U that had a lot of mildly severe and some huge mistakes, not all of them fixable. In consoles, the winner is the one that don't do silly mistakes.
That was what PS2 did. PS4 did a similar thing, but it won't be anywhere close to PS2 because X1 was a way more correct and competitive approach than the original XBox even with the mistakes they did. I consider the Wii U to have more mistakes than GC and that will be pretty clear when we look at final LTD sales some years down the road.
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