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I'm not convinced by Vista at all. One of my friends was very excited to see that you can basically get OS-X - effectively running on WinXP (I don't know a lot about all of this, and don't follow it - so this may be slightly or completely wrong).

MS is slowly getting squeezed on all fronts - including from Google, Sony, Apple (and more).

The danger for MS is that PC's DO become irrelevant - although I can't imagine NOT using one at work (be really wierd if we ever all upgrade to Macs or something like that). With all these other devices out there (consoles, phones, etc..) it will become irrelevant in my home soon - pretty much the only thing I use it for is "heavy" web browsing / forum posting - and downloading. Light browsing happens on the Wii, as does gaming - media playback from my DVD player.

I'll say it again - people also seriously underestimate the iPhone. The demand for it is already so high, the initial shipments are completely sold out (and you can't get even close to buying one). A lot may depend on how many Apple can produce (no idea of the quantities...).

The next few years are going to be REALLY interesting. I predict (again) that the next Xbox will basically come with Vista on it (it WILL be a PC...).



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