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cheshirescat on 22 July 2014
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Dusk said:
cheshirescat said:


You do realize it won't have to surpass its release sales in order to hit 14 million by the end of the year.  There's still three months of sales to look forward to before the hoiday season, and unless tlou remastered, destiny, and the myriad of games coming out in October do next to nothing to boost the ps4's sales by November then 14 million should be a shoe in.

 

I mean, two years ago the ps3 sold over 6.6 million units in the same time span, with what I would argue was a comparatively anemic lineup of games while having to compete with the Wii U's release, which was pretty decent at the time.  Do you honestly believe that the market has constricted so much that a bit over 5 million units is outside of the realm of possibility?

Well, that was 2 years ago, the prices were much better in comparison, there were bundles and loads of extras offered. The PS4 doesn't have much of any of that right now. I'm still not sold on TLOU:R going to be a huge boost because I think the majority of people that absolutely wanted to play it have done so, and if they still want to play it why not pick it up for $20-$30 or the bundle for $270 instead of a potential $400+ $50. I think it will sell well, but mostly to those that already have a PS4. It's a great game and certainly worth picking up if you have a PS4, but why pick up a PS4 for it? Destiny will sell well I'm quite sure, but it is also available on PS3/360 as well as the Xbox One. Sales will pick up, but there is no MUST HAVE exclusives or a great back log catalogue for the system yet. I think next year (second year on market) will likely be it's best year as is the usual for most systems.

The ps4 is going to have bundles, there are going to be black friday and holiday deals like there are every year.  The last of us remastered doesn't have to provide the same boost that the original did for the ps3.  As far as destiny is concerned, have we all forgotten about watch dogs already?  The same arguments were made then but the ps4 boost was vastly superior than that of all the other systems and all indications point to destiny doing even more than that.  Then there are the superfluous yearly releases and various third party releases where the ps4 has taken the pole position as preferred or lead platform.  There is plenty of software coming out to push sales despite the lack of exclusive games.

Even last year the ps3 sold just a tiny bit less than 5 million in this time frame, and that is while being undermined by that record release for the ps4 and the xbone.  It will take one of the worst holiday seasons in the history of the industry for the ps4 to not hit 14 million.