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It'll reach go over 100m. The PS4 is selling well, but it'd sell much better if not for the lack of exclusives. There are four games that are exclusive and one current/next gen multiconsole game until 2015. There are no games in Japan that are exclusive or multiconsole that are even aimed towards the Japanese. Anything that they can purchase on the PS4 can also be purchased on the PS3. The Japanese are waiting for Final Fantasy 15, Kingdom Hearts 3, an exclusive Yakuza, Gundam, some weird Japanese game where you see skimpy dressed anime girls and get to touch them, etc. The PS4 has none of that. Infact, it really has nothing at all just about.

The PS4 will sell, it's just not everyone is going to purchase the console when there's nothing to buy the console for.