Why I don't think the PS4 will pass 100m

[Dusk]

cheshirescat said:

Dusk said:

 

So you are betting on over 5 million over the holiday season. More than it's initial release sales. I just don't see that happening. Yeah, it has some good games coming out, but it broke records and they couldn't keep it in stock. I'm not a "fear monger", but I do find that funny. I think you are just overly optimistic. 

You do realize it won't have to surpass its release sales in order to hit 14 million by the end of the year.  There's still three months of sales to look forward to before the hoiday season, and unless tlou remastered, destiny, and the myriad of games coming out in October do next to nothing to boost the ps4's sales by November then 14 million should be a shoe in.

 

I mean, two years ago the ps3 sold over 6.6 million units in the same time span, with what I would argue was a comparatively anemic lineup of games while having to compete with the Wii U's release, which was pretty decent at the time.  Do you honestly believe that the market has constricted so much that a bit over 5 million units is outside of the realm of possibility?

Well, that was 2 years ago, the prices were much better in comparison, there were bundles and loads of extras offered. The PS4 doesn't have much of any of that right now. I'm still not sold on TLOU:R going to be a huge boost because I think the majority of people that absolutely wanted to play it have done so, and if they still want to play it why not pick it up for $20-$30 or the bundle for $270 instead of a potential $400+ $50. I think it will sell well, but mostly to those that already have a PS4. It's a great game and certainly worth picking up if you have a PS4, but why pick up a PS4 for it? Destiny will sell well I'm quite sure, but it is also available on PS3/360 as well as the Xbox One. Sales will pick up, but there is no MUST HAVE exclusives or a great back log catalogue for the system yet. I think next year (second year on market) will likely be it's best year as is the usual for most systems.