I'm almost sure sony is taking the same path as microsoft, sooner or later. So next gen maybe microsoft can surprise us or maybe during this current gen but i doubt it. Sony has already won this gen unless they make a huge mistake and microsoft use it wisely.
" They can't win unless they make serious gains in Europe. You can't win a global gen when you are only strong in 1 of the 3 markets, even if it is the biggest one."
It was getting bigger with the 360 in Europe, but it's selling poorly with the one ( mainly because of their previous mistake i think, european forget hardly a mistake :p ).