Yea, I thought it would do ~60M-65M based off the launch sales. Now, I'm not so certain. I'm thinking 35M-45M.
The One is completely dead outside of the US and the UK, and its not selling so hot in those regions, anyway. The PS4 is just the hot console this gen, mainly because of power (therefore better looking/performing games), Sony's record on 1st party support, and better PR. The only thing MS can do to even slow down the momentum at this point is to drop the price another $100, to $299, and to release Gears and Halo 5 THIS year. Of course, that's not going to happen.
In fact, if anything, MS may just pull out of the console business altogether. The new CEO definitely doesn't see it as a necessity, trying to distance MS from the Xbox division with recent statements. He's closed down Xbox Entertainment Studios and is firing a bunch of Xbox division employees. Bill Gates gave his go ahead not too long ago to spin-off/sell the Xbox division, if the CEO wanted to. And investors want MS to stop focusing on HW and focus on where they are slipping in SW. I think we aren't going to see that much moneyhatting from MS in 2015 and onward, like some Xbox fans were/are hoping for.
