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S.Peelman said:
A lot of people's judgements are clouded.

The only reason the PS4 looks good and the XBox One semi-good is because both companies were smart enough to play on last year's hype and managed to pump millions of units onto the shelves for a big launch. Right now though, the sales of this gen are pretty bad and are laughed at by the sales of the 7th gen from the same respective point in time. If the PS3 was considered 'bad' last gen, WiiU and XBox One are outright attrocious and even PS4 isn't exactly spectacular.

Meanwhile XBox One still isn't getting any closer to WiiU and for now there's little reason to believe it will anytime soon. As long as this doesn't happen, XBox One isn't getting to any number WiiU won't and saying it will reach 60m means you're also saying WiiU has at least an equel chance of doing the same. Same can be said about the PS4's chances to catch 3DS.

 

DS 462,676 (+2%) 46,839,906
Wii 300,138 (+17%) 9,601,716
PSP 179,589 (-2%) 24,594,180
PS3 96,978 (+52%) 3,981,453
X360 66,675 (-5%) 10,528,168

 

14th July 2007, same week (at least the closes it can be). PS4 is ahead of PS3 and X360, X1 close to 360 numbers. The only guy selling more is the Wii, but it's a well know fact that it was frontloaded and lost steam around 2012 (and this was Dragon Quest launch week). If we look at LTD sales, PS4 would be close to the Wii (with the difference that PS4 most likely will have better legs) and would be almost catching up the 360 that had an extra year in the market. Both X1 and PS4 would be ahead of PS3 easily. We had a lot of sales at day 1, but we can't simply forgot the impact they have at weekly sales.

PS3 and 360 were supply constrained, so a lot of people had to wait for one to become available before buying it. PS4 and X1 had an imprecedent initial stock and even then all units were gone. So a lot of sales that the PS3 and X360 had in the begining were results from a lack of stock. You want a PS3 day one, but you can't have it because it isn't available. So you grab one some weeks/months later. It's visible on this data: the PS3 outsells the X1 because it was closer to launch, but we all know that X360 dominated the first years easily and built a gap that only started to decrease with the PS3 slim model. This was less pronounced on PS4 and X1 because they were capable of delivering a lot of units day 1. You can't just ignore the impact that lack of stock can have on spreading sales that should be day 1 to several weeks/months because of availability.

I would say that portables this gen are laughable, but that's because smartphones really replace a lot of the things they do. They won't be gone anytime soon, but won't sell like before from now on.