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Lawlight on 21 July 2014
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Sharu said:
Lawlight said:
Sharu said:
For PS4 to sell 100 millions:
If a generation will be 5 years it needs to sell 20 million a year (in average). So if first year will be 15 millions, next year it should be 25 millions.
20 millions a year means selling 400 000 a week, globally, in average. Currently it sells 4 times less.
So basing on this I think that industry is shrinking and Sony will need a miracle to get PS4 to 100 millions lifetime sales.


That's not how it works. The PS4 will sell well after the generation is over.

Yes, yes, and PS3 will easily beat Wii lifetime, cause of Sony legs... Heard it before, not impressed. 

Guys you just need to understand that both PS2 and Wii was a phenomens. And applying its patterns to ordinary consoles just doesn't work.


There's a big difference between the PS3 and PS4 though - the PS3's price is very hard to bring down because of nvidia and the complexity of the cell.

We're not applying the Wii's pattern here since it died before the WiiU came out. We're applying the PS1's and PS2's pattern.

The reality is that the PS3 is still expensive for a console that's 8 years old. It's $279 while the PS2 was already $129 years before at this point in the PS2's life. The PS3 is still too expensive for the emerging regions.

Still the PS3 sold 3.7M after the PS4 released so far and that number will keep on increasing. Should the PS3 drop in price ($149 or $179) at some point in the future, I can see it passing the $100M mark.