Sharu said:
biglittlesps said:
Sharu said:
For PS4 to sell 100 millions:
If a generation will be 5 years it needs to sell 20 million a year (in average). So if first year will be 15 millions, next year it should be 25 millions.
20 millions a year means selling 400 000 a week, globally, in average. Currently it sells 4 times less.
So basing on this I think that industry is shrinking and Sony will need a miracle to get PS4 to 100 millions lifetime sales. |
Consoles sells most of the year sales during Holidays and big game releases which will be big numbers to balance the average sales of the year. So, you cant expect the PS4 to do 400k every week when it doesn't have any big exclusives released so far and this is Summer time where the sales are going to drop every year.
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Do U know what average is? If the average for 4 weeks is 400k, and console sales 3 weeks 100k, it means that it needs to sell 1300k 4th week to reach the average.
Lets put it simple, specially for you.
Do you think that it is realistic to expect PS4 sales of 20 millions for its first year (from middle of November 2013 till middle of November 2014)?
Edit: Even Sony don't think that 100Mln is realistic:
http://www.siliconera.com/2014/05/14/sony-hope-sell-17-million-playstation-4-playstation-3-consoles/
"During the fiscal year that ran from April 1st, 2013 – March 31st, 2014, Sony sold 14.6 million PlayStation home consoles. That figure includes both PlayStation 3 and PlayStation 4."
"For the ongoing fiscal year (April 1st, 2014 – March 31st, 2015), Sony estimate they will sell 17 million PlayStation home consoles"
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17 Million is about what PS2 sold in its first year with no competition.
So after 5 years PS4 will completely stop selling? like completely no sales? I hope you are joking about that one its been proven every gen that Playstation consoles have a long life.
