Why I don't think the PS4 will pass 100m

[Rafux]

ikki5 said:

Wazowski said:

People wants so much something to fail that completely fails (itself) to see the big picture-.-

so this generation is going to last just 4 years?
may be, but is that a fact?

the PS4 shows signs of weaking?

is the competition doing great that there is no space to even think about buying PS4?

did all the AAA titles and exclusives already came out and failed?

did the new gen already been announced?

is the end of the world near? 

- the awnser is NO in all my question (dont know about the last one but by TRENDS is not likely)
... so yeah there is a very good chance PS4 do much more than 100m

Is the PS4 weakening..... yeah it is. Look at the numbers, less than 100k. Selling like a typical system that hit less than 100m.  Yeah I know you are going to tell me that "oh but it is summer" When that arguement is more a blind excuse arguement. Consoles that sell 100m in their lifetime, don't just drop below 100k a week within 7 or so months of it's lifetime even if it is the summer time. Over all really, it is that consoles in general are weakening. We are not going to see a console hit 100m this gen at all whether it be a handheld or home console. People are not buying them like they used to. This is probably due to the fact that there are so many other platforms out there now that all cam up during the last generation. Yeah we had a huge surge of people buy the PS4, same thing happened with the Xbox at it's launch only the PS4 held on to it's momentum a lot longer. Now ofcourse, it is possible for it to skyrocket back up and yeah, maybe it will hit 100m just like what the DS did but... I don't see that happening easily.

I am more willing to bet that the majority of those people that bought the PS4 and Xbox one are people who upgrade from their previous preferred system unlike what sony is saying how people are buying them instead. The fact that they based that on how there are new PS+ accounts isn't a good way of doing it as you never needed a PS+ account with the PS3. Yeah some will be new, but not the sheer amount that they claim. They are more just trying to make it sound like no one wants anything except the PS4 but by now, that is obviously not the case going by the sales as the sales are... back to what you'd normally see a console sell.

As for AAA titles... it is not that they fail, it is that they are becoming less and less common as they cost so much to make and a lot of time, or they are just rushed to give you pretty much the same game with recycled stuff to keep the cost down. In return, they just release DLC after DLC.

Another thing, It is not certain how long this gen will last but at the same time, technology is increasing at a rapid rate, faster than what it did at the start of last gen and with the rapid technology, it is possible that this gen could be done in 5 or 6 years (though it still could be longer) just so that the companies will not fall behind. If one of them moves ahead, it will kind of force the others to.

"Consoles that sell 100m in their lifetime, don't just drop below 100k a week within 7 or so months of it's lifetime even if it is the summer time"

Do you have the numbers for Playstation 1 and 2 first summer?