| goulibouli said: It's probable they'll sell 100 millions. The reason is simply because there's no competitors: people seem to be definitely rooting for the PS4 even in the US, and nobody cares about the Wii U (which is not even competing), and developers will follow, so more people will buy it. They sold 100 millions Playstation and 150 millions PS2 without competition, and 80 millions even with competition of both Xbox 360 at 80 millions too and Wii at 100 millions. Why wouldn't they? |
I agree that currently PS4 is on a trajectory to 100 million. However, I disagree with you regarding the lack of competition.
Lots can change in the next 4-5 years
The big wildcard would be another company joining the video game console market. In about 3-4 years, another company can put out video game console at a good price point of $399 with much better specs and likely be able to play 1080p 60 fps with bells and whistles for all games (maybe powered by a maxwell GPU). Maybe a company like Apple, Amazon decides to put out a console for the core video games with a GPU similar to current 770 or 780 for about $399 in year 2016. Maybe another Ouya console but made for the hardcore gamers. What if Samsung decides to make a Galaxy video game console. Hell, Nintendo can put out another console with better GPU/CPU at the same price point in few years. There are too many things unknown to make these type of predictions.....
