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In my opinion:

XBOX ONE have 3% of probability for outsell PS4.
Wii U have 2% of probability for outsell PS4.

PS4 have 97% of probability for outsell XBOX ONE.
Wii U have 34% of probability for outsell XBOX ONE.

PS4 have 98% of probability for outsell Wii U.
XBOX ONE have 66% of probability for outsell Wii U.