A PS3 in the US in 2011 will be retailing for around $199.

[rocketpig]

Qly said:

rocketpig said:

Qly said:

rocketpig said:
Sony will need to be well under $200 in 2010 if they want to compete.

By that time, MS will be able to launch a new Blu-ray Xbox that will smash the PS3 power-wise for about $300.

Yeah, and Nintendo will launch 4 gamecubes taped together with a funny gadget that will have all the grannies going punk and name it something everybody will hate at the beggining.

Seriously, NO ONE knows what will happen 3-4 years from now, if 3 years ago, when the gamecube was pityfully agonizing someone told us that Nintendo would do a come back with the cheapest non-hd console, we would all have laughed at their faces

And citing moore's law seems a little ill placed, as it disagrees with the prices and positions of the current generation

Moore's Law applies to standardized costs, which is what I'm talking about. MS will be able to release a $300 machine with superior specs in 2010 and take little or no loss on hardware. Whether they do so or not remains to be seen but given Microsoft's apparent console strategy, we can expect to see a new Xbox in 2010 or 2011.

And at that point, Sony needs to make sure the PS3 is well under the price of the new machine.

I agree on moore's law on standarized costs (at least for another 12-15 years) my point is, standarized costs mean nothing, specially when some companies sell to a profit and become market leaders and other sells to huge losses just to trail behind in sells.

I believe this generation will probably change a bit how machines are designed (DS vs PSP, Wii vs PS360) bigger and more expensive does not necessarily mean better (for the hardware company at least, that is)

Also, the wii will probably have a lower life expectancy than the other 2, as it will look outdated much much faster, the truth is that it is really hard to look at the past or any kind of law to predict the future/outcome of the current generation.

I don't know if Sony will abide by their prediction to keep the ps3 for 8 years, it seems odd, as it will have to compete with the next Xbox and the next nintendo, and it will have to do it with lower specs, and probably not as market leader...

I pretty much agree with that. The real wildcard in the upcoming years will be Nintendo. It will be interesting to see if they cut the Wii short in favor of putting out a new 720p machine for $250. I think the Xbox will be first in line for generation eight but there's a small chance Nintendo could surprise us all and pull a Sony with two consoles selling at the same time.

One thing I think we know for sure is that no company will be taking a significant loss on hardware next generation and no console will break $400 at launch, with Sony and MS likely targeting a $300 price point. Let's hope they get this stupid "multiple SKUs" thing out of their system this generation, too.