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During the year 2009 (probably mid) is when I would bet on a $200 price tag. By then 360 will be ranging from $120-$170 and Wii's will probably be $150 as they will be dominate by a big margin and won't need to be less expensive than 360's or PS3's.

However, I don't see the PS3 being more than 60m in LTD sales. At this point in the gen I see the 360 ~ 35m, PS3 ~ 50m, and Wii ~150m LTD.