A PS3 in the US in 2011 will be retailing for around $199.

[Supposed]

RAZurrection said:
I think that's doubtful, a PS2 is still $129.99 7 years later, to expect a PS3 for $199 Including a HDD and BDRom in 3 years is probably too optimistic.

 The PS2 sold a lot better so I don't think it's too unlikely.