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Realistically, I don't think that any console will be able to pass the 40 Million user mark while it is priced above $200. Beyond that, pricing the PS3 at $199 in 2011 and expecting the PS3 to (suddenly) start selling well, and for it to have a long life is silly. In 2011 it will be trivial for Nintendo and Microsoft to produce much more powerful, much more feature rich consoles, sell them at $199 and have the benefit of being the new product (rather than the 'unpopular' old product).