Before this generation started, I thought for sure that the PS3 would easily crush all competitors. I even advised friends not to buy a 360, because the PS3 would come out later and be so much better ("don't buy this generation's Dreamcast"). E3 2006 was a huge eye-opener; the more that I found out about the PS3, the less interest the platform held for me. $600 price tag? Crammed with multimedia features that I don't care about? No thank thee. I still thought that the PS3 would probably win the generation, just that it wasn't for me.
Once all the consoles launched and we began getting sales figures, that's when I started to realize that the PS3 was going to struggle bigtime. The holiday 2006 launch in America was nothing short of a disaster, with supply shortages (yes, the PS3 faced shortages for a brief period at launch!) limiting the PS3 to about 400k sales. Meanwhile, the Wii sold a million in the same time frame. That more or less set a trend that has continued to the present day. By March 2007, it was obvious to me that the PS3 had already lost in Japan, and would face a monumental struggle to surpass the 360 in America. So even though I was wrong at first, by the time we were six months into the generation, I thought it was pretty clear what would happen.
Pretty shocking to see that so many people STILL think that the PS3 has a shot to win the generation. Uhh, OK, keep thinking positive thoughts...
End of 2008 totals: Wii 42m, 360 24m, PS3 18.5m (made Jan. 4, 2008)







