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Didn't XB1 come closer to PS4 in Feb vs. March? I think it did. That does seem to indicate that Titanfall $449 SKU failed its purpose (unless one argues that it would have done much worse without its existence).

As for the $399 bare SKU, at this point it seems that $399 kinect+game bundle would have been smarter, along with a $329 Kinectless SKU for those that refuse to buy Kinect.

We'll know for sure in 6 days anyway. May was amazingly bad, and many presumed that it was simply due to sales moving from May to June for a hopeful baseline boost in market share. All will be revealed at NPD.