fatslob-:O said:
Tamron said:
For the most part, I can see them dropping under $300 in 4-5 years, but for it to drop below that before then would take either the complete failure of one of the consoles, and thus fire sales, or for a good portion of the components dropping considerably in price, but averages on gddr5/ddr3, and the apus have remained pretty constant, unless they're phased out entirely by newer tech, and said tech is adopted fast enough to run the new part at mass production and lower it's price, it would have little effect on unit cost.
Could also go the way of DDR2 and temporarilly drive up the unit cost as the part ends it's production lifespan, too.
In short, a sub-$300 ps4 or xbox one comes down to this chance of probability
2014-2016 - 5%
2016-2017 - 8%
2017-2018 - 12%
2018-EOL - 95%
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When do you expect 13.5nm EUVL to reach the fab plants ?
The key to reducing chip manufacturing costs lies within how good the scanners are ... I could probably see Intel being able to get their hands on a 13.5nm EUV scanner by 2018 but I don't expect either Samsung or TSMC grabbing one until 2020 so I think it'll be a little bit longer until we see official sub $300 prices for current gen consoles.
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relevant:
hexus.net/business/news/components/71929-tsmc-accelerates-development-10nm-process/
