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Intrinsic said:

Errr.... 2M discrete GPUs in 3 months? You must have not read what I posted. Which is kinda what happens a lot in threads like these, peeople just come and give their perspective and ignore what everyone else says.

Those estimates weren't for ONE quater.... it was for an entire year. So you are looking at 2M per year not in 3 months. And I arrived at this from nvidias very own earning report.

Now I know I over estimated things but I was just trying to paint a picture. But fine, since a lot here want to be specific lets go into specifics.

Nvidia posted overall revenue of $1.14 billion for one quater. And announced that it was up 3% YOY in the same quater. Now lets be generous and assume that it had similar results for all its previous quaters. That puts its yearly total revenue at approx $4.5B. Now that total revenue isn't just profits, its "total revenue" for that year.

And we all know nvidia doesn't only make discrete GPUs. They make mobile GPUs, tegra SOC and even the nvidia shield console. They also provide GPUs for server based applications and services.

So lets be realistic, how much of that $4.5 billion do you guys think realistically is attributed to just its discrete GPU market all considering? $1B? $2B??? 

And now even if we want to assume that everyone that buys a GPU only buys one in the $350 range... at $1B of revenue for that its around 3M GPUs per year. (2.8+ but I am rounding up). And this is really low balling it cause we are assuming that every GPU sold is in the $350 price average bracket. I don't see how 3M GPUs sold in a year doesn't make PC gaming in general a niche market. And if we were to be honest here, and really factored in all its type of GPUss including those that retail for over $500. This number could drop a lot faster.

I am not saying 3M in sales is bad... but its definately niche for an entire year. Even more so when you start to look at how much of that number are actually new buyers and not just people upgrading their PCs.

I will end by saying again. If Nvidia sells like 5-10M GPUs a year, be rest assured they will not just be talking about revenue and percentages in their financial reports. They will hammer those sales numbers into everyones skulls and say things like we sold more GPUs than the WiiU or as much as the PS4...etc. Its just busines. In financial reports, the real telling things aren't what is said... its usually whats not said.

This is from 2011, sales have increased a lot since then, but still.

http://www.xbitlabs.com/news/graphics/display/20110809190609_AMD_and_Nvidia_Lose_Market_Share_as_Shipments_of_Graphics_Adapters_Rises.html

Shipments during the second quarter of 2011 did not behave according to past years with regard to seasonality, and was higher on a year-to-year comparison for the quarter. Normally, the second quarter of the year is a slower business quarter in the graphics industry (and in the PC industry as a whole). This year, Q2 2011 did not conform to the normal seasonal cycle. Instead, shipments increased to 140 million units, up 22 million units from this quarter last year.

Let's consolidate those numbers for Q2 2011.

Nvidia : 23,828,000
ATI/AMD : 28,865,920

So what we have, from ATI and Nvidia alone is 52,693,920 cards shipped in JUST Q2 of 2011.

http://www.kitguru.net/components/graphic-cards/anton-shilov/amd-loses-gpu-market-share-as-market-expands-jpr/

In total, around 446 million of graphics adapters for PCs (discrete and integrated) were shipped in 2013. As low-end standalone GPUs extinguish, sales of GPUs will decline to 422 million in 2017.

The general concensus is that on average 70% are onboard/integrated, of those 70%, 85% of them are Intel embedded graphics, leaving 15% for onboard amd/nvidia, the other 30% are low to high end gpus, or of the sold units in 2013, 133.8million were low to high end gpu cards, even if we go with the assumption that only 10% of those cards were mid to high end (in reality its closer to 28%), then thats still 13.4 million per year, if we go with the examples of mid to high end cards sold in previous years being around 28%, then it's closer to 36 million.