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It can happen, but i think PS4 is still the most likely to get first place this year.

While i agree that pokemon+smash is a big line up, i would like to see something more. Smash 3DS has to convince a lot of people that it can be as fun as on a home console, and the other is a remake afterall.

It does have Persona Q on november, just a few days after pokemon, so who knows...