binary solo said:
No it hasn't. In fact I predict that this generation will have similar sales to the 6th gen, and perhaps less. Gaming has gotten much bigger, thanks to mobile phones and Facebook type games. But home consoles peaked in the 7th generation, largely thanks to the one generation wonders of the Nintendo blue ocean. That blue ocean has evaporated, as we can see with the pathetic Wii U sales. PS3+X360 < PS2+Xb. PS4 is shaping up to have similar sales to PS3 (only in less time) and Xb one is shaping up to have a lot less sales than X360. If Wii U was to some how miraculously reach 30 million in sales the 8th gen will still fall far short of the 7th gen, and unless MS some how performs a miracle with Xb one the 8th gen will fall well short of the 6th. The 6th gen moved 200 million consoles. I think the 8th gen won't get above 180 million. As to the prediction. 20 million seems to be as high as Wii U seems likely to go, and it may fall short. However all bets should be held until we see Wii U at $200. When it hits that price sales may pick up a lot. $200 might do for Wii U what $299 did for PS3. Well maybe not quite PS3 numbers, but in a relative sense Wii U might get a similar % boost sales long term. But perhaps by the time Wii U gets to $200 the market will have laregly forgotten it, which is the danger of not having any kind of momentum behind it. |
Yes, it´s contracting..one little detail I don´t see anybody mentioning is, and if I´m not mistaken here, this is the first generation that starts in a bad macro economic environment.As far as I know, no other gen in its infancy has had to deal with something such as a post 2008 macro economic environment.I believe this is certainly playing a part, and it really doesn´t help that Nintendo and MS designed machines that didn´t resonate with the consumer.MS has been doing a lot to try and turn the ship around, though at least in Europe, the X1 fate seems to be sealed already.
