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mornelithe said:

Yeah, ISIS hasn't gotten anything done in a miraculously short amount of time.  You underestimate the force of will they're willing to exhibit to do what they believe is correct, and rightfully their land. 

 


It's because you assume that ISIL works alone or has a massive army. The violence in Northern Iraq is not ISIL alone, but an alliance of various Sunni forces such as former Ba'athists with ISIL taking the lead.

It points to Iraq's weakness rather than ISIL's strength. The attack on Mosul involved 1500 ISIL fighters against 30'000 Iraqi soldiers and ISIL won? It just shows how weak the opposition to ISIS is. In addition, they've been beaten back by the Kurds in the North and they don't have the manpower to push south in Shia majority areas.

Syria has them at odds with both the Assad Regime and other rebels, Jordan has a strong professional army to the west and is unlikely to fall. Saudi Arabia and the other gulf states hate ISIL more than they hate Maliki and will probably offer support of some kind.

There will be no Caliphate, ISIL doesn't have the strength to do it.