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HoloDust on 22 June 2014
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fatslob-:O said:
HoloDust said:

I'm not into the matter that much, but something disruptive like gallium-arsenide from POET Technologies. Or something different, who knows.

Here's a nice comment from the comment section of one of the articles dealing with 28nm wall:

"I was lucky enough to be at the Solid state conference in Philadelphia in 1966 and was in the audience where Dr More presented his paper defining Moore’s Law. A comment from the audience then was ” Nobody is going to tread those memory cores for less than 0.1Cents per bit. The law can not continue.” Dr Moore’s comment was: “Then we know one thing: Memories for computers will not be threaded ferrite cores in the future”. Dr More was right."

There will be something new, we just have to wait and see what will win.

III-V FinFETs may be promising but so are others like gate all around, quantum well FinFETs, and SOI FinFETs as well. 

There may be something new but I wish I could have that same kind of optimism as you do ... In fact I am envious of it. I don't believe anything will win due to the fact that we've almost come to a stand still and if 13.5nm EUVL does become a reality where do we go from there ? 

The belief that moore's law will continue is almost as strong as kids believing in tinker bell from neverland. LOL


LOL...well, 2020 is not that far, even if they push for 5nm that's 2 more years, so we'll see around 2022.

But as I said, there will be something disruptive, like always in the past...maybe something like D-Wave Two...well, it's bit too early for that. :P