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fatslob-:O said:
HoloDust said:

While that might be true for silicon, there will be new materials to reboot it.

Like what ? Are you going to come here and say graphene ? I don't see any replacement for silicon and the laws of physics are eventually going to stop us from shrinking any further. What do you propose that we use for new scanner technologies ? 13.5nm EUVL has done nothing but act like vapourware.

Like Bob Colwell said, "It's not going to be physical limits that will end moore's law but it will be due to the economics of making cost effective technology."

Computational lithography is still too out of reach for us ... Having good material may be one thing but having no good scanner technologies will mean that you can't print extremely fine and precise features of the circuits. 

Ohhh, I can see the awful repercussions that will come out of this whole mess. Moore's law may even stop at the 10nm node for all I know. 


I'm not into the matter that much, but something disruptive like gallium-arsenide from POET Technologies. Or something different, who knows.

Here's a nice comment from the comment section of one of the articles dealing with 28nm wall:

"I was lucky enough to be at the Solid state conference in Philadelphia in 1966 and was in the audience where Dr More presented his paper defining Moore’s Law. A comment from the audience then was ” Nobody is going to tread those memory cores for less than 0.1Cents per bit. The law can not continue.” Dr Moore’s comment was: “Then we know one thing: Memories for computers will not be threaded ferrite cores in the future”. Dr More was right."

There will be something new, we just have to wait and see what will win.