Bold Prediction : Microsoft will offer huge bundle deals this holiday season and XB1 will hit $349 or less

[Arkaign]

Ignoring kinect I don't think it's typical to knock $150 off the price and give a top tier new exclusive away for a console only a year from launch.

Last fall they weren't dropping the 360 price an extra $50 and giving away Gta5 (no big exclusive to use for this hypothetical).