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This is the year of the 3rd party. Nintendo 1st party is huge both for reasons of superb quality and lack of good 3p support on the U.

But on ps4/xb1? Slaughter. It's not even going to be close. Halo is seeming to interest only previous hardcore fans who are the core Xbox fanbase. Like Titanfall, it will sell well but primarily to people already owning the console.

I might go so far as to say any PS/xb 1st party will have a hard time hitting 2.5m before DEC 31st.

Whereas games like Destiny will be dominant, and cod looks like it will have an upswing.