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Egann said:

It really depends on how much of the Mario Kart/ E3 inertia the Wii U keeps and how much the X1 recovers when the kinect is unbundled. 

Two things must happen at the same time for the X1 to catch up to the Wii U's sales numbers.

 

  1. The Wii U must lose at least 50% of the inertia it has from Mario Kart and E3.
  2. The Xbox 1 must gain at least 50% more sales than it was pushing before the unbundling.
A fall after Mario Kart is certain, as is a boost in sales with unbundling, but the extent makes this reasonably unlikely to happen. I think Reggie is right and Nintendo will solidify their position in second place, but it's really too early to tell.

 


It seems you are focusing on the week of MK8 release... any other week X1 was selling more than WiiU so they were closing the gap, and probably they will keep closing it slowly. Maybe 1-1.5M difference on the end year between them.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."